{
  "schema": "cognilode.marketplace.supply-policy.v1",
  "policy_state": "active",
  "grandfathered_first_party_marketplace_ids": [
    "focus-reset-journal",
    "neon-exit",
    "production-ml-deployment-triage"
  ],
  "new_first_party_supply": {
    "requires_external_demand_evidence": true,
    "accepted_demand_evidence_url_prefixes": [
      "https://github.com/evanbrown3000/cognilode-mcp-capability-navigator/issues/"
    ],
    "required_experiment_fields": [
      "hypothesis",
      "success_metric",
      "stop_condition",
      "max_cash_cost_usd",
      "expires_at"
    ],
    "rule": "A new first-party catalog-visible offer must cite at least one public external buyer-demand issue and carry a bounded experiment definition. Easy publication, hypothetical upside, internal traffic, listings, checkout opens, and agent-created demand do not satisfy this gate."
  },
  "third_party_supply": {
    "affected_by_first_party_freeze": false,
    "rule": "Independent seller supply remains governed by seller application, proof, provider custody, and marketplace listing rules."
  },
  "negative_evidence": {
    "same_hypothesis_requires_material_change": true,
    "rule": "A retired or suppressed product/channel must not be republished under a cosmetic rename without materially different demand, distribution, pricing, provider, or buyer evidence."
  },
  "economic_truth": {
    "page_is_income": false,
    "listing_is_income": false,
    "checkout_open_is_income": false,
    "buyer_request_is_income": false,
    "match_is_income": false,
    "completed_checkout_is_distinct_from_settled_cash": true,
    "income_recognition": "provider_settled_or_immediately_withdrawable_usd_only"
  },
  "empirical_trigger": {
    "observed_on": "2026-08-21",
    "connected_stripe_available_usd": 0,
    "connected_stripe_pending_usd": 0,
    "connected_stripe_completed_checkout_sessions": 0,
    "connected_stripe_payment_intents": 0,
    "effect": "Freeze expansion of speculative first-party marketplace supply until external demand evidence exists."
  }
}
